Typical risk-off trades – DJIA ends 1st quarter 2015 in the red

Posted By on April 1, 2015

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Watching the commodities today … particularly oil and precious metals. In the “classic risk off trade,” when stocks are selling off, gold rises (chart right – Business Insider).

Looking a little more down the road, investment banks who follow crude oil futures see the price on a slow rise after a weak winter and spring. A few bankers are predicting lower lows before a slow recovery (interesting chart below), likely due to excess inventory, abundant supply and weakness in world demand. So much for “peak oil.”

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  1. lacking in consistency, constancy, or visible order, disconnected; fitful: desultory conversation.
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