Hurricane warnings up the east coast as Irene churns north

Posted By on August 25, 2011

Intense Hurricane IRENE (AL09) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.4 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
    Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours

August 25, 2011 at 5PM via tropicalstormrisk.com

Posted via email from RichC’s posterous

Comments

Desultory - des-uhl-tawr-ee, -tohr-ee

  1. lacking in consistency, constancy, or visible order, disconnected; fitful: desultory conversation.
  2. digressing from or unconnected with the main subject; random: a desultory remark.
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