Intense Hurricane IRENE (AL09) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Bahamas
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
the United States
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) Nassau (25.1 N, 77.4 W)
probability for TS is 100% currently
New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
August 25, 2011 at 5PM via tropicalstormrisk.com
Posted via email from RichC’s posterous