President Bush explains economic crisis

Posted By on September 25, 2008

President Bush speaks to the nation
On Wednesday night, President Bush addressed the nation in order to explain the economic crisis and layout the administration’s plan in order prevent a “deep recession.” From studying the comments from the past few day, this credit crisis isn’t going away without some kind of intervention by the government … and if a Republican is coming up with this “socialist” oriented answer, we must be in pretty deep.
Newt GingrichI’ve yet to talked with anyone who likes this $700 billion rescue/bailout/loan/investment, but I’m not convinced that there are other solutions either. I’ve listened to opponents from President Bush’s own party, like Newt Gingrich, a true conservative and against the administration’s plan. His points are probably all valid, but I’m not sure we have the luxury to crunch his ideas in a Democrat controlled House and Senate in a timely way avert economic collapse. Time in of the essence IF as some have already suggested, business credit markets are already frozen and there is a risk that people across America may not get, or will receive “rubber paychecks” … as well as many business to business payments delayed. It already seems that most in Washington understand this crisis and have place it first priority that the President and congress get a plan cobbled together soon.
Senator Schumer (D. NY)Lawmakers need to pass something quick in order to keep the credit markets liquid … not to mention prevent a collapse in the stock market and a run on the banks. Friday will be a critical day unless traders are convinced a package is in the works, even if its a scaled down first installment like the $150 billion proposed by Sen. Charles Schumer, chairman of the Joint Economic Committee.
(video President Bush addressing nation below)

President Bush explains economic crisis – 9/24/2008

Transcript:

9:01 P.M. EDT

THE PRESIDENT: Good evening. This is an extraordinary period for America’s economy. Over the past few weeks, many Americans have felt anxiety about their finances and their future. I understand their worry and their frustration. We’ve seen triple-digit swings in the stock market. Major financial institutions have teetered on the edge of collapse, and some have failed. As uncertainty has grown, many banks have restricted lending. Credit markets have frozen. And families and businesses have found it harder to borrow money.

President George W. Bush addresses the nation from the East Room of the White House, Wednesday evening, Sept. 24, 2008, on the nation’s financial crisis. President Bush has invited legislative leaders from the House and Senate, including both Presidential candidates, to a meeting Thursday at the White House to discuss a bipartisan plan to rescue the economy. White House photo by Eric Draper We’re in the midst of a serious financial crisis, and the federal government is responding with decisive action. We’ve boosted confidence in money market mutual funds, and acted to prevent major investors from intentionally driving down stocks for their own personal gain.

Most importantly, my administration is working with Congress to address the root cause behind much of the instability in our markets. Financial assets related to home mortgages have lost value during the housing decline. And the banks holding these assets have restricted credit. As a result, our entire economy is in danger. So I’ve proposed that the federal government reduce the risk posed by these troubled assets, and supply urgently-needed money so banks and other financial institutions can avoid collapse and resume lending.

This rescue effort is not aimed at preserving any individual company or industry — it is aimed at preserving America’s overall economy. It will help American consumers and businesses get credit to meet their daily needs and create jobs. And it will help send a signal to markets around the world that America’s financial system is back on track.

I know many Americans have questions tonight: How did we reach this point in our economy? How will the solution I’ve proposed work? And what does this mean for your financial future? These are good questions, and they deserve clear answers.

First, how did our economy reach this point?

Well, most economists agree that the problems we are witnessing today developed over a long period of time. For more than a decade, a massive amount of money flowed into the United States from investors abroad, because our country is an attractive and secure place to do business. This large influx of money to U.S. banks and financial institutions — along with low interest rates — made it easier for Americans to get credit. These developments allowed more families to borrow money for cars and homes and college tuition — some for the first time. They allowed more entrepreneurs to get loans to start new businesses and create jobs.

Unfortunately, there were also some serious negative consequences, particularly in the housing market. Easy credit — combined with the faulty assumption that home values would continue to rise — led to excesses and bad decisions. Many mortgage lenders approved loans for borrowers without carefully examining their ability to pay. Many borrowers took out loans larger than they could afford, assuming that they could sell or refinance their homes at a higher price later on.

Optimism about housing values also led to a boom in home construction. Eventually the number of new houses exceeded the number of people willing to buy them. And with supply exceeding demand, housing prices fell. And this created a problem: Borrowers with adjustable rate mortgages who had been planning to sell or refinance their homes at a higher price were stuck with homes worth less than expected — along with mortgage payments they could not afford. As a result, many mortgage holders began to default.

These widespread defaults had effects far beyond the housing market. See, in today’s mortgage industry, home loans are often packaged together, and converted into financial products called “mortgage-backed securities.” These securities were sold to investors around the world. Many investors assumed these securities were trustworthy, and asked few questions about their actual value. Two of the leading purchasers of mortgage-backed securities were Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Because these companies were chartered by Congress, many believed they were guaranteed by the federal government. This allowed them to borrow enormous sums of money, fuel the market for questionable investments, and put our financial system at risk.

The decline in the housing market set off a domino effect across our economy. When home values declined, borrowers defaulted on their mortgages, and investors holding mortgage-backed securities began to incur serious losses. Before long, these securities became so unreliable that they were not being bought or sold. Investment banks such as Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers found themselves saddled with large amounts of assets they could not sell. They ran out of the money needed to meet their immediate obligations. And they faced imminent collapse. Other banks found themselves in severe financial trouble. These banks began holding on to their money, and lending dried up, and the gears of the American financial system began grinding to a halt.

With the situation becoming more precarious by the day, I faced a choice: To step in with dramatic government action, or to stand back and allow the irresponsible actions of some to undermine the financial security of all.

I’m a strong believer in free enterprise. So my natural instinct is to oppose government intervention. I believe companies that make bad decisions should be allowed to go out of business. Under normal circumstances, I would have followed this course. But these are not normal circumstances. The market is not functioning properly. There’s been a widespread loss of confidence. And major sectors of America’s financial system are at risk of shutting down.

The government’s top economic experts warn that without immediate action by Congress, America could slip into a financial panic, and a distressing scenario would unfold:

More banks could fail, including some in your community. The stock market would drop even more, which would reduce the value of your retirement account. The value of your home could plummet. Foreclosures would rise dramatically. And if you own a business or a farm, you would find it harder and more expensive to get credit. More businesses would close their doors, and millions of Americans could lose their jobs. Even if you have good credit history, it would be more difficult for you to get the loans you need to buy a car or send your children to college. And ultimately, our country could experience a long and painful recession.

Fellow citizens: We must not let this happen. I appreciate the work of leaders from both parties in both houses of Congress to address this problem — and to make improvements to the proposal my administration sent to them. There is a spirit of cooperation between Democrats and Republicans, and between Congress and this administration. In that spirit, I’ve invited Senators McCain and Obama to join congressional leaders of both parties at the White House tomorrow to help speed our discussions toward a bipartisan bill.

I know that an economic rescue package will present a tough vote for many members of Congress. It is difficult to pass a bill that commits so much of the taxpayers’ hard-earned money. I also understand the frustration of responsible Americans who pay their mortgages on time, file their tax returns every April 15th, and are reluctant to pay the cost of excesses on Wall Street. But given the situation we are facing, not passing a bill now would cost these Americans much more later.

Many Americans are asking: How would a rescue plan work?

After much discussion, there is now widespread agreement on the principles such a plan would include. It would remove the risk posed by the troubled assets — including mortgage-backed securities — now clogging the financial system. This would free banks to resume the flow of credit to American families and businesses. Any rescue plan should also be designed to ensure that taxpayers are protected. It should welcome the participation of financial institutions large and small. It should make certain that failed executives do not receive a windfall from your tax dollars. It should establish a bipartisan board to oversee the plan’s implementation. And it should be enacted as soon as possible.

In close consultation with Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, and SEC Chairman Chris Cox, I announced a plan on Friday. First, the plan is big enough to solve a serious problem. Under our proposal, the federal government would put up to $700 billion taxpayer dollars on the line to purchase troubled assets that are clogging the financial system. In the short term, this will free up banks to resume the flow of credit to American families and businesses. And this will help our economy grow.

Second, as markets have lost confidence in mortgage-backed securities, their prices have dropped sharply. Yet the value of many of these assets will likely be higher than their current price, because the vast majority of Americans will ultimately pay off their mortgages. The government is the one institution with the patience and resources to buy these assets at their current low prices and hold them until markets return to normal. And when that happens, money will flow back to the Treasury as these assets are sold. And we expect that much, if not all, of the tax dollars we invest will be paid back.

A final question is: What does this mean for your economic future?

The primary steps — purpose of the steps I have outlined tonight is to safeguard the financial security of American workers and families and small businesses. The federal government also continues to enforce laws and regulations protecting your money. The Treasury Department recently offered government insurance for money market mutual funds. And through the FDIC, every savings account, checking account, and certificate of deposit is insured by the federal government for up to $100,000. The FDIC has been in existence for 75 years, and no one has ever lost a penny on an insured deposit — and this will not change.

Once this crisis is resolved, there will be time to update our financial regulatory structures. Our 21st century global economy remains regulated largely by outdated 20th century laws. Recently, we’ve seen how one company can grow so large that its failure jeopardizes the entire financial system.

Earlier this year, Secretary Paulson proposed a blueprint that would modernize our financial regulations. For example, the Federal Reserve would be authorized to take a closer look at the operations of companies across the financial spectrum and ensure that their practices do not threaten overall financial stability. There are other good ideas, and members of Congress should consider them. As they do, they must ensure that efforts to regulate Wall Street do not end up hampering our economy’s ability to grow.

In the long run, Americans have good reason to be confident in our economic strength. Despite corrections in the marketplace and instances of abuse, democratic capitalism is the best system ever devised. It has unleashed the talents and the productivity, and entrepreneurial spirit of our citizens. It has made this country the best place in the world to invest and do business. And it gives our economy the flexibility and resilience to absorb shocks, adjust, and bounce back.

Our economy is facing a moment of great challenge. But we’ve overcome tough challenges before — and we will overcome this one. I know that Americans sometimes get discouraged by the tone in Washington, and the seemingly endless partisan struggles. Yet history has shown that in times of real trial, elected officials rise to the occasion. And together, we will show the world once again what kind of country America is — a nation that tackles problems head on, where leaders come together to meet great tests, and where people of every background can work hard, develop their talents, and realize their dreams.

Thank you for listening. May God bless you.

END 9:14 P.M. EDT

U.S. economy teetering on the brink of disaster

Posted By on September 24, 2008

scaredIt is a frightening time to be an American family and businessperson, as the credit markets in the United States dry up and near collapse. Our elected politicians posture in Washington DC in hopes to prevent a slide into a deep recession or possible depression. President Bush request time to address citizens on Wednesday night and currently is recommending a $700 billion rescue plan, along with Treasury Secretary Paulson and Fed Chairman Bernanke. At the surface it looks to be a bailout for Wall Street banks who have make poor decisions, but encompasses much more.

I was doing a bit of reading on this move to socialize the banking and finance industry in order to salvage our economy; without a rescue effort credit markets will dry up, IRAs, 401Ks and homes … and in turn the economy … will suffer even more than most of us have ever experienced. As if this boondoggle wasn’t bad enough, congress seems to be looking for a way to politically play games and a way to point fingers at others. If there was a time for some unity in Washington DC it would be now; everybody will be paying for this bailout. By the time a bill is packaged up it is going to make our ‘pass along’ debt to the next generation even that much larger; about the only positive is that “maybe” some of the proposed $700 billion investment/infusion/risky loan money will come back as the economy rebounds? It is definitely not a ‘good’ investment but may not end up costing the full $700 billion, still the alternative is that without government intervention the U.S. economy will truly tank and take our citizens with it.

Senator McCain has decided postpone his campaign for President and decided to go back to work in Washington DC and is even backing out of the first debate to be held on Friday. Senator Obama believe he can do both and “at this moment” has decided not to take a campaign recess and return to Washington; the Friday debate is in question and perhaps will be just a campaign appearance by Obama?

Personally I’m already tired of the finger-pointing and blaming the “fatcats” on Wall Street. There is enough blame to go around and few can claim that they didn’t see something coming or didn’t contribute to this. Almost ‘all’ are guilty — including Obama ($22 million) and McCain ($20 million) who gladly took money from these ill-managed Wall Street firms. I say ‘all’ because its not just those who oversee the greed on Wall Street (politicians, appointees, board members or hire executives) , but also the millions of common people buying homes they can’t afford, buying on easy credit or refinancing their consumer debts and rolling it into homes with excessive valuation (home equity lines of credit). From the appraisers selected by local mortgage companies to those local and national lenders working on volume rather than margins when loaning money; so as long as they can pass these questionable loans along to Wall Street it was business as usual. Eventually this sub-prime nightmare was going to “come home to roost” as Obama’s spiritual advisor Reverend Wright would say. This crisis threatens all but the most savvy citizen … those sitting on a gold mine or oil reserves perhaps? If we weren’t in a recession, we are now — so hold to your hats because this salvage effort by the federal government is not going to be pretty.

A final thought as we approach November … this isn’t the time to be raising taxes or increasing spending (something even the ‘tax and spent’ liberal Democrats are rethinking … at least Obama) and is a time to unify behind a recession ending push by our government. Markets need to stabilize at ‘some’ level and companies need to have access to capital in order keep Americans employed. Commonsense dictates that making political hay and adding pork to a rescue bill deserves to be punished by voters — if congress does not, we need to chuck those who add their personal pet pork and bring in some new blood to look out for the best interest of the country and its ordinary citizens. Let’s hope congress does their job and can come to some kind of plan … no one is really going to like it.

VW and MB slow to adopt biodiesel B20 standard

Posted By on September 23, 2008

TDI badge redOnce upon a time back in 2007, Volkswagen TDI advocates anticipated factory warranty coverage for higher blends of biodiesel — its not happening as of 2008 or from the looks of things, for the new 2009 ‘clean diesel’ TDIs. We had been told that ADM and VWoA were contemplating B20 as an acceptable blend (they were testing it), unfortunately based on reports from AutoBlogGreen and their question to VW communications director Steve Keyes, Volkswagen is “not prepare to support B20 use.”

It looks as if there is yet another slowdown in acceptance of the B20 target for commercial biodiesel fuel as neither Volkswagen or Mercedes Benz is ready to approve B20. The concerns from manufacturers is that “the higher bio concentrations will result in excessive ash build-up in the particulate filter and other issues,” according to the AutoBlogGreen report. So as of Fall 2008, those of you running percentages higher than B5 (5% biodiesel) in your new MB BlueTec and VW TDI “clean diesel” vehicles might want to take note of the factory position in regard to biodiesel percentages — stick with B5 for full warranty coverage or you may be on you own when dealing with ‘fuel related’ engine and exhaust after treatment problems.

Amateur YouTube Internet Culture music videos

Posted By on September 22, 2008

ebay guysHere are several YouTube music videos mentioned by Amber MacArthur and posted on her blog dealing with technology. A couple videos have been around a while, particularly if you are a YouTube addict … but a couple have just launched in September of 2008. There are some talented people posting their work to the web. It’s probably best to understand the popular “Internet Culture” such as Twitter, Ebay, blogging, etc. if you’re really going to appreciate these, nevertheless they are pretty good. I’ll start with the 2006 EBay classic and include my son’s obsession at the bottom.
🙂

The eBay Song

The Internet Overdose Song

You’re No One If You’re Not on Twitter

The Facebook Song

Over 18,000 watch 5th VW TDI Cup race in Iowa

Posted By on September 22, 2008

Jimmy UnderhillVolkswagen TDI Cup racing had 18,000 fans watching at the Iowa Speedway this past weekend for the 5th racing in the circuit. Jimmy Underhill of Denver, Colorado, took first place at the speedway driving the  Jetta TDI for the 33 lap 30 minute sprint. He lead every lap in this impressive VW ‘clean diesel’ and claimed his first victory in the series. He placed third twice before, and second once but indicated that he went into the race feeling confident that he would finish in the top few spots. According to the VW media website, there was some impressive "door-to-door racing.”

Here are the finish result for all 29 factory prepared 2009 Volkswagen Jetta TDI ‘clean diesel’ vehicles:

1. (1), Jimmy Underhill, Denver, Colo., Bosch, 33
2. (8), Mark Pombo, Duluth, Ga., ful®, 33, -.268
3. (12), Michael DeNino, Gaithersburg, Md., Castrol, 33, -1.166
4. (7), Caleb Kenney, Berkeley, Calif., Hoopla, 33, -4.305
5. (2), Chris Castagna, Boston, Mass., Oakely, 33, -4.803
6. (13), Liam Kenney, Sterling, Va., ViON, 33, -8.049
7. (9), Chris Kuenning(R), Grand Rapids, Mich., Aggreko, 33, -8.145
8. (4), Josh Hurley(R), Cooper City, Fla., Athlete’s Performance, 33, -8.424
9. (3), Juan Pablo SierraLendle, Puebla, MX, Aggreko, 33, -9.000
10. (22), Jake Dallenbach, San Antonio, Texas, Select 1, 33, -9.324
11. (20), Chris Holman, Burlington, Ontario, UTI, 33, -9.591
12. (15), Andy Lee, Colorado Springs, Colo., Kyosho, 33, -10.105
13. (16), Andrew Cordeiro(R), Woodbridge Ont, Canada, Castrol, 33, -10.755
14. (14), Gary Williams_Jr., Dana Point, Calif., Bondurant, 33, -11.433
15. (11), David Jurca, Federal Way, Wash., Red Bull, 33, -11.949
16. (10), Taylor Broekemeier(R), Fort Collins, Colo., Oakley, 33, -12.851
17. (19), Wyatt Dallenbach, San Antonio, Texas, SCORE, 33, -13.414
18. (17), Evan Pflock(R), Redondo Beach, Calif., DC United, 33, -13.933
19. (18), Derek Jones, Philadelphia, Pa., Bosch, 33, -14.971
20. (23), Chad Brassfield(R), Phoenix, Ariz., Kyosho, 33, -15.253
21. (26), Adam Love(R), Normal, Ill., SCORE, 33, -24.674
22. (25), David Heinz(R), Pittsburgh, Pa., Pre Loved, 33, -26.500
23. (21), David Richert(R), Niverville MB, Canada, ViON, 33, -27.077
24. (29), Adam Kretschmer(R), Brampton, Ontario, VW Credit, 33, -27.563
25. (24), Adam Crepin(R), St. Louis, Mo., SCCA, 33, -27.989
26. (28), Ryan Buetzer, Long Beach, Calif., Hoopla, 33, -30.272
27. (27), Noah Arundel, Tonka Bay, Minn., VW P&A, 33, -34.794
28. (6), Nick Mancuso, Mettawa, Ill., Auto Logistics, 32, -1 lap
29. (5), Timmy Megenbier, Melrose Park, Ill., SCCA, 32, -1 lap

VW Jetta TDI Cup provisional race results listed with finishing position, starting position in parentheses, driver, hometown, car sponsor and laps completed.

A day alone …

Posted By on September 21, 2008

sun

It is not that having a day alone is all that unusual, but its feels a bit more like I’m alone? Instead of driving my son back to college with my wife today, she is doing it alone and leaving me to chores at home (and there are plenty after the latest wind storm) and available for a trustee meeting tonight. I’ve given today a more leisurely start and opted to update a few personal office details — like bills and spreadsheets — fixed a couple small items around the house and have saved the heavy lifting and sweat chores for the heat of the afternoon; so much for logical timing? Nevertheless, this first day of autumn is just another extension of summer as the temperatures are in the 80’s and sun is out as bright as ever.

Things that make me smile

Posted By on September 20, 2008

Twitter message

Its often the small things in a day that can trigger a smile. Here’s a text message from a long distance friend that had me laughing … of course the actual word was “coworkers” but the shortened message that came to my Treo smartphone was a bit more comical. (Thanks for the laugh Scott!)

Government tries to rescue financial markets

Posted By on September 19, 2008

Big changes for the financial markets as the SEC steps in to slow short selling of 799 financial companies and secure Money Market Fund holders on the heels of an injection of loan money from Uncle Sam earlier this week. Predatory short selling is in part to blame for the meltdown in financial sector. In summary, here are the actions so far: “toxic bond debt” is being rescued by the injection of 185 billion in capital from the banks around the world (and loans to AIG by the U.S. governmet), short selling will be limited and the U.S. Government will back Money Market Funds. These announcements has the dollar strengthening and stock market futures on the rise after a last minute gain yesterday.

Obama McCain drawingJim McTague of Barron’s was interviewed Thursday night about our recent Wall Street woes, and in his view we are going to see additional bank failures since the they are over leveraged. The Presidential candidates will focus on U.S. economic health and what should be done to correct our current condition. In the end, McTague’s conclusion is that the next President will have very few dollars to work with after the U.S. makes commitments to citizens and financial companies. He comments that no matter which candidate or party is in control, that “there is no way we can tax our way out of this problem.” He indicates “that growing our way out is the only real answer,” and therefore he believes that whoever has the best “growth plan” for America in next 4 years will offer the best solution in order to pay not only our new debt, but the trillions in previous debt. Once again, the election looks as if it once again is pegged to the economy.

Senator John McCain proposes the low taxes for all Americans in hopes to stimulate business growth and it has been a criticized by those wanting additional dollars in Washington DC. Senator Barack Obama has advocated lower taxes on middle income Americans, but higher taxes for those wealthier Americans. A piece of news that has gone semi-unreported is that Barack Obama seems to have recently indicated that “if we remain in recession in January and he is the new president, he will not raise taxes.” *

Whoops … traffic violation, not prostitution

Posted By on September 18, 2008

Wrong arrest

Sorry about that “incorrect information” … 🙂

SW Ohio still recovering from Ike’s wind

Posted By on September 17, 2008

Local Krogers

Whoa … kind of shocking when I walked into our local grocery store to pick up a few items for the kitchen — the coolers and freezers were all bare! I suppose I should have given it a bit more thought since much of the area is still without power. Schools in my area have been closed and thankfully just our cable (including Internet) has been out. I did spend another evening cutting up trees and cleaning up a bit. A friend who borrowed our generator finally was able to get power on Tuesday night, while my brother north of Dayton is still without power or water (well pump requires electricity). BUT … things are improving and by Wednesday we should have a patched roof.

Desultory - des-uhl-tawr-ee, -tohr-ee

  1. lacking in consistency, constancy, or visible order, disconnected; fitful: desultory conversation.
  2. digressing from or unconnected with the main subject; random: a desultory remark.
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