Mid-term elections: What it might mean for the US economy

Posted By on November 4, 2018

Americans are finally working again and the U.S. is once again the place for businesses to expand, hire, give raises and grow. For all the questionable rhetoric from the far right and left extremes … and yes, from President Trumps’ "tweets" and biased media reportingus-economic-growththe actual governing under his administration and a GOP House and Senate majority has been good for America … and all Americans. Sure, we all have our personal peeves with particular issues. The president’s personality and his flaming the fires by highlighting divisive issues may not be attractive to those preferring politically correct normal politicians … the the all to familiar,  say one thing and do another … but there is no denying President Trump’s results in "promises made, promises kept."

To be fair, a recovery, be it slow, began in the last couple Obama years, particularly after his administrations’ progressive policies were curtailed by a GOP controlled congress. The recovery has accelerated under GOP leadership and has acted as if the economy was on steroids. The leading forward looking indicator, the stock market, screamed ahead after Trump’s election win in 2016. The economy is so improved that the Federal Reserve has moved from years of easy monetary policies to raising rates and unwinding their balance sheet. Hopefully an "independent Fed" remains wiser than the rest of us and sticks to their purpose to moderate our economy and preventing the next cycle of extremes.

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Now for something to worry about. Current polls and our nation’s history of mid-term elections tells us the opposition party (Democrat Party in 2018) is favored to gain seats in congress. That along with our country’s demographics separating political philosophies by population concentrations (city, suburban, rural), age, gender, race and faith has the House race 6 in 7 that Democrats gain leadership control. Since congress controls the purse, and often politically motivated investigations of their opponents, the likelihood is 20160305_USD001_0that we will face a gridlock. The result is that very little will get done on the pressing issues such as addressing immigration and border control, lower taxes, spending control, Medicare and Social Security shortfalls and health care … all that have been pushed off again and again.

My prediction if this comes true, is that President Trump like previous presidents facing a congress unwilling to proceed with his current policies, will shift his focus to where he can still be effective — foreign policy.

Catch up post – ZERO Trick or Treaters this year for Halloween

Posted By on November 3, 2018

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Wages and prices rise as the economy improves. #inflation

Posted By on November 2, 2018

As the positive economy in the U.S. continues to grow America out of the "great recession" and rebound off the slow growth Obama years, we are seeing signs of inflation, FedFund15-18hopefully just the right amount. Wages are rising and businesses sense they have pricing power and can raise prices (their cost are up too). Consumers are seeing their new  tax savings, improved paychecks and employment confidence nibbled away after years of mostly flat inflation.

The Federal Reserve has also acted proactively and is on a path to normalizing interest rates after years of cheap money policies. Will they stay ahead of inflation … or act too aggressively and send our economy back into a recession? It is a delicate balancing act.

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The WSJ detailed a few of them in a recent article:

That Big Mac and Coke Now Comes With a Side Order of Inflation
Airlines and food makers among industries passing along higher costs, raising inflation fears

U.S. companies are raising prices on everything from plane tickets to paint, passing on to customers higher costs for fuel, metal and food after years of low inflation.

Clorox Co. said it raised prices in the latest quarter on such products as cat litter, and Coca-Cola Co. reported higher prices for the quarter. Other goods makers, as well as airlines, also have announced price increases over the past week.

The higher prices have effectively ended a long period of low inflation that led the Federal Reserve to keep short-term interest rates near zero for years.

“We think 2019 will be more inflationary than we have seen historically since the recession,” Kellogg Co. Chief Executive Steve Cahillane said in an interview Wednesday.

It is a tricky moment for the U.S. economy. Unemployment is at the lowest point in decades, and economic growth is strong. Inflation is near the Fed’s 2% target, but price rises could pick up if pressure from labor shortages and tariffs intensify in a still-robust economy. Alternatively, other factors could offset such pressures, including the stronger U.S. dollar, which makes imports cheaper.

At some point, higher prices could damp the economy’s growth. Investors worry that a pickup in inflation will prompt the Fed to raise interest rates more quickly to prevent the economy from overheating.

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What are alloys? (see MetalSupermarkets.com)

Posted By on November 1, 2018

Great tips and information are sent regularly by email from a handy Metal Supermarket franchise location. It has saved me a time or two with small projects where a particular piece of metal is needed. Check them out.

What are alloys?

An alloy is a combination of a metal with at least one other metal or nonmetal. The combination must be part of a solid solution, a compound, or a mixture with another metal or nonmetal in order for it to be considered an alloy. The most common way to combine metals into an alloy is by melting them, mixing them together, and then allowing them to solidify and cool back to room temperature.

Why Are Alloys Used?

Metal alloys are used because they typically have enhanced mechanical or chemical properties. Alloying elements can be added to a metal to increase a number of properties including hardness, strength, corrosion resistance, machinability, and much more.

What Are Common Alloys?

Alloys are so abundant throughout the metalworking industry that there are too many to list. In fact, it is far less likely to work with a non-alloy, or “pure metal.” Even low carbon mild steel – perhaps the most frequently used material in metal fabrication – is an alloy of iron and carbon. An example of a steel alloy would be AISI 1018. Cast iron is another alloy of iron and carbon, with even higher amounts of carbon than mild steel.

Aluminum is often alloyed with other elements as well, giving it the attributes required for the desired application. For example, aluminum 6061 and 2024 have high additions of manganese or copper, respectively.

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Fighting back my desire to participate in the Apple upgrade cycle

Posted By on October 31, 2018

It is a favorite time of year for those who enjoy seeing the new product coming online from Apple. iPhones in September,new iPads and Apple Air notebooks this week and even a new Apple Mac Mini (used an older Mini for my desktop next to a Windows machine for years).

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This year it seems even more pressing since I’m struggling with either overheating or a bad power supply on my 6 year old iMac … and am very tempted to update (had a painful crash earlier this year). BUT really just getting my iMac back working correctly will suit my needs. So instead of something new, I’ll be trying to fix something a little older (the iMac) and have ordered both a new power supply and some thermal grease/paste to reseat the processors. It will not be an easy fix.

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Markets for the most part bounced back on Tuesday

Posted By on October 30, 2018

October is indeed a "scary" month for investors who are still hoping the bull market is not over … and perhaps just slowing? Earning for the most part are still good, interest rates aren’t "scary" high and the economy seems to be chugging along. Most who want work are finding jobs and employers are complaining that they can’t find enough skilled or loyal employees willing to stick with them and show up when scheduled. 

Unfortunately even though most stocks bounced back today, the bad news from General Electric $GE didn’t end. Today they fell short in there quarterly with declining profits and sales. The "once iconic" American conglomerate is looking at ever option to stop the bleeding in order to save the company. They have so much talent and potential but can’t seem to get out of their own hole. The morning call saw them deliver the news investor did not want to hear, GE will slash their dividend to 1 cent. Punishment came swift as investors sold their shares; it closed down 8.78% to $10.18 per share.

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 431.72 points, or 1.8%, to 24874.64. The S&P 500 added 1.6%, a day after teetering on the brink of correction territory. The index has tumbled 8.5% from its recent peak. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.6%.

All 11 sectors in the S&P 500 marched higher, led by gains in communications and energy shares. Those groups climbed 2.5% and 2.3%, respectively. The real-estate sector added 1.7%

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On this day in 1974, Foreman and Ali fought in Kinshasa, Zaire

Posted By on October 30, 2018

The_Rumble_in_the_Jungle_posterRumbleInJungle1974

The fight was known as "The Rumble in the Jungle" and was perhaps the most iconic boxing event ever. The underdog and mouthy, rope-a-dope dancing Muhammad Ali put  the undefeated world heavyweight champion George Foreman down in eight rounds. What an event and one not forgotten by the 60,000 in attendance or by the 50 million viewers who watched pay-per-view on television around the world.

Music Monday: Getting in the mood for a Fleetwood Mac concert

Posted By on October 29, 2018

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A couple last minute condo update improvements

Posted By on October 28, 2018

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Enjoyed a great week in Florida with Katelyn, Drew and Annalyn

Posted By on October 27, 2018

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Desultory - des-uhl-tawr-ee, -tohr-ee

  1. lacking in consistency, constancy, or visible order, disconnected; fitful: desultory conversation.
  2. digressing from or unconnected with the main subject; random: a desultory remark.
My Desultory Blog