Student loan debt default rises in a strong labor market

Posted By on December 16, 2017

With all the buzz around Bitcoin and bubbles, the really big financial crisis being somewhat overlooked is Student Loan Debt. The number of Americans struggling to pay back the money they borrowed for their education is mindboggling.

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The WSJ reported that Nearly 5 Million Americans are in Default on their Student Loans … and there are many who are barely keeping their debt up to date. That 5,000,000 number “in default” is shocking at a time of we have “a strong labor market — unemployment is at a 17-year low—and carries long-term consequences for borrowers and the economy.”

What happens when the next recession hits? (FYI, we are overdue if past history is our guide)

Nearly 5 Million Americans in Default on Student Loans

Number surges in recent years despite strengthening economy

The number of Americans severely behind on payments on federal student loans reached roughly 4.6 million in the third quarter, a doubling from four years ago, despite a historically long stretch of U.S. job creation and steady economic growth.

In the third quarter alone, the count of such defaulted borrowers—defined by the government as those who haven’t made a payment in at least a year—grew by nearly 274,000, according to Education Department data released Tuesday.

The total number of defaulted borrowers represents about 22% of the Americans who were required to be paying down their federal student loans as of Sept. 30. That figure has increased from 17% four years earlier.

The money they owe is becoming a bigger share of total outstanding student debt in repayment. Defaulted student loans totaled $84 billion at the end of the quarter, or 13% of the roughly $631 billion that borrowers were required to be paying down.

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As GOP TaxReform nears, investors drive stocks higher again

Posted By on December 15, 2017

Another record high on Wall Street as once again the financial markets believe the Republicans in congress will finally get promised tax reform across theMarketsRecordHigh171215 finish line. Even if Democrats see some benefits (many agree US corporate taxes are too high) they haven’t contributed in the GOP plan; they likely will continue to oppose anything that is on President Trump’s agenda or could garner him improved popularity – politics!

A simpler tax plan would have been nice, but special interests have nosed in a few nuggets and added complexity … and without votes from Dems, those who prefer simplicity and fairness have caved to get the votes needed to pass the bill. So it is business as usual for congress.

Those believing in the Trump agenda of less regulation, smaller government and lower taxes believe businesses will grow and move back to the US. Investors see economic growth in our future so all three major indexes set all-time highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose about 139 points to 24,648. The S&P 500 jumped 23 points to 2,675. The Nasdaq Composite advanced 80 points to 6,936.

Tech Friday: Testing Apple Live Photo to downsized looping GIF

Posted By on December 15, 2017

We’ve had a colder than usual early December here in Cincinnati … and has much of the country. The freezing temperatures will likely show up in higher heating bills Test GIFbut I’m hoping the new LED Christmas lighting will offset that cost? We’ll see.

I’ve been wanting to test the Live Photo editing feature on the iPhone called “looping” that can be used with additional apps or gif creator sites to create an animated GIF files. Gifs have been popular to add a little something to photo sharing – in my case moving water in a half frozen landscape pond. The downside in ani-gifs is the lower quality compression and that they are an inefficient way to save data (verses most mp4 encoded video or jpg still photos). The photo to the left was scrunched smaller – lower quality, yet the file size still ended up being 880KB. (the small non-animated JPG version is only about 16KB)

Our first Christmas as husband and wife #TBT

Posted By on December 14, 2017

Wow … is this really the 35th Christmas? With boxes all over the basement in search for Brenda’s "special ornaments," I ran across the BrendaRich_ChristmasAuroraOH1982old photo albums of our first year of marriage and our first Christmas. We both remember it fondly since it was a relatively minimalist Christmas. The tree came from Brenda’s dad’s property from his hundreds if not thousands of planted pine seedlings in Jamestown, NY (as did most of our trees for the 13 years we lived in Aurora and in Hudson, Ohio). The trees were always untrimmed and a bit Charlie Brown looking, but the price was right and enjoyment in traveling to and from New York with a tree on the roof immeasurable.

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This first tree also had minimal decorations since we only had a couple hand-me-downs and was decorated with the help of my college roommate Jerry and his soon to be wife Pam, who by the way was Brenda’s roommate. Our entertainment in getting together was to "force them" into helping us string popcorn for our first Christmas Tree. We had a good time with great friends – I could not have had a better college roommate for my four years at Ohio Northern University. Some day I’m going to have to tell him just how much I appreciated his friendship, although we haven’t see them in years since they live in Idaho.

When looking at the photos and the one of my "young" mom and dad, I couldn’t help but think about them. They loved seeing Brenda and MomDadC_ChristmasAuroraOH1982I "do our best" to entertain in our little red brick farmhouse. They were up to see our tree before Christmas that first year and we invited my great Aunt Nettie and uncle Ray (behind my mom in the photo) from Cuyahoga Falls over as well. I’m so glad we did that as the years pass so quickly.

Thinking about that little house and the many upgrade we did in the five years we own this little two bedroom house. From handyman remodeling, a large pressure treated deck – firepit area and built in book case … to the one-lung well pump with so much iron in the water that it turned Brenda’s hair red. I can even remember the questionable oil fired furnace that we eventually pinched together $700 when replacing with natural gas … but not before adding a homemade/welded water tank woodstove and fireplace to the existing one. I really enjoyed working or  sitting down in the  basement by the fireplace … long before the now popular "man cave."

So as we close in on Christmas 2017, it is enjoyable to remember this 1982 ThrowBack Thursday Christmas from 35 years ago and include a couple photos. What a great life!

EDIT: Since I could find this link with Pam, Brenda and Jerry’s photo … I’m going to add it here: LINK.

Wishing a very Happy Birthday to my son-in-law

Posted By on December 13, 2017

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For Sale: 1958 Packard Hawk Convertible-auction ends 12/15/17

Posted By on December 12, 2017

This 1958 Packard Hawk is a one-off convertible created by Stanley Pridachuk, the chief engineer at Studebaker/Packard in the 1950s. Pridachuk believed that a convertible version of the Hawk would help revive the failing Packard brand and pressured the board to build one, though he was ultimately unsuccessful. Some time after his retirement in 1963, Pridachuk purchased a Hawk and using his own money converted it with parts sourced from the Studebaker inventory. Lovingly cared for and driven over several years …

Source: 1958 Packard Hawk Convertible for sale on BaT Auctions – ending December 15 (Lot #7,341) | Bring a Trailer

EDIT: Although the above was a one-off customized version of the 1958 Packard Hawk, there were 4 official models produced by Studebaker-Packard in 1958.

Final Packards:

1958 saw the Packard line expanded to four models; a 4-door sedan, a 2-door hardtop (sometimes referred to as the “Starlight”, a name used by Studebaker), a 4-door station wagon and the Packard Hawk, a modification of Studebaker’s Golden Hawk with a “fishmouth” Packard grille.

Only 2,034 of the three standard models (sedan, hardtop and station wagon) were produced; an additional 588 Packard Hawks were built as well. The rarest of all ’58 Packards is the station wagon, with only 159 produced. The last Packard rolled off the South Bend assembly line on July 13, 1958.

LINK

Merry Christmas 2017 from our family to your family

Posted By on December 12, 2017

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Volkswagen wants incentives for diesel cars removed in Germany

Posted By on December 11, 2017

After years of leading the "clean diesel" push and getting their hand slapped for cheating on emissions testing, Volkswagen looks to be giving up on fossil fuel or at least diesel cars. In fact according the New York Times, VW wants the German government to phase out tdi-vw-logo415subsidies they lobbied for for years that favored diesel cars. Looks pretty transparent to me?

“We should question the logic and purpose of diesel subsidies,” Matthias Müller, the chief executive of Volkswagen, said in an interview with the German newspaper Handelsblatt. “The money can be invested more sensibly to promote more environmentally friendly technologies.”

Mr. Müller is the first German auto boss to publicly suggest that the government should stop subsidizing diesel, a step that would certainly hasten the technology’s demise. Though cautiously formulated, his comments represented a major turnaround.

Diesel was practically sacred to German carmakers until recently, but sales have been plummeting since Volkswagen confessed in 2015 to widespread cheating on emissions tests, a scandal that drew attention to the health hazards of diesel exhaust.

According to Jalopnik, The New York Times also reported that Müller also said he’s in favor of banning older diesels from city centers … unless they are the newer diesel cars that meet emissions targets.

The more I see big government dictating life in Europe, the more I’m thankful to be living in the United States where individual freedom is respected and somewhat protected (so thankful not to have liberals running the Federal government or my state of Ohio).

Music Monday: Trans-Siberian Orchestra – Christmas Canon

Posted By on December 11, 2017

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A snowy winter day, a warm fire and distractions

Posted By on December 10, 2017

Woodstove171209The first cold snowy winter day was the perfect time to fire up the woodstove in the poolhouse garage … unfortunately the distraction of a warm fire lead to other distractions and  keeping me from the day’s list of projects. Instead of finishing the Corbett Christmas letter, updating the mailing list, decorating and working on a couple handmade presents, I ended up resealing the workbench tops.

The finish is well worn and moisture is swelling the surface in spots … and it just so happened a leftover jar of Zip-Guard Wood Finish was leaking and needed to be resealed.  So instead of trying to store it longer, I used it up on the workbench in the garage and the balance in the basement

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Desultory - des-uhl-tawr-ee, -tohr-ee

  1. lacking in consistency, constancy, or visible order, disconnected; fitful: desultory conversation.
  2. digressing from or unconnected with the main subject; random: a desultory remark.
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