Lunch with Jeff, the economy, inflation and more nukes in China

Posted By on October 1, 2021

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What once was a weekly or at least bi-monthly lunch with my friend Jeff, has shifted to once every 3 months or so since COVID19. It’s not all due to the pandemic as changes in work habits and eating out habits has contributed to neglecting getting together. Nevertheless, it was enjoyable to spend an hour catching up and talking this week at one of our many Mexican Restaurant options.

Years ago when we first started our lunches together (late 1990s) … the “chips and salsa” lunch options were few and far between. Chili’s was our stand by option since it was a favorite of his when he lived in Orlando and a favorite of our family after church each Sunday. We shifted to a local Sharonville Mexican restaurant when he moved to Cincinnati and then spread to others locations as they multiplied (as we did .. cough, couch .. probably a correlation). We still enjoy the occasional lunches, but no longer find it an affordable lunch option. The once “cheap sit-down lunch” that became an under $20 for two lunch is not ringing in at over $30. It is shocking to see the lunch menu that once read 3.95, $4.95 and $5.95 (depending) now reading $10.95 – $12.95. Besides the currently 40-45%+ rise in energy prices this year, the price of food and service is also a big indicator to me that INFLATION is with us and not beingChina_Hami-silos offset by productivity gains or wage gains to offset these kinds of increases.

As if the economy wasn’t concerning enough, Jeff shared a link from the growing threat coming from China. Jeff, being in cybersecurity, pays attention to where the most online threats are coming from (China and Russia) … but also is paying attention to China when it comes to their aggressive expansion and growing military. An area that is particularly concerning is their Nuclear silo construction. They have been a nuclear power for years, but are now accelerating development of 120 silos near Yumen in Gansu province. Are we facing another Cold War?

HamiMissileSiloFields

The Hami missile silo field is in a much earlier stage of development than the Yumen site. Construction began at the start of March 2021 in the southeastern corner of the complex and continues at a rapid pace. Since then, dome shelters have been erected over at least 14 silos and soil cleared in preparation for construction of another 19 silos. The grid-like outline of the entire complex indicates that it may eventually include approximately 110 silos.

FAS.org link

Pondering the worth of our Amazon Prime annual membership

Posted By on September 30, 2021

PrimeCurrently, Amazon Prime costs $119/year if you opt for an annual subscription and after the charges shows up each year on our credit card, I ask the same question: “Is Amazon Prime worth it?” (where are those 2015 prices)

AmazonPrimeMembersion2021

Eventually the irritation passes, the bill gets paid and we’re off to ordering and streaming for another 12 months, but … I’m still not sure it is worth it especially since we are semi-trying to do our part and buy locally or from vendors who don’t control so much of our lives. 

A colorized photo triggering interest in Ernest Shacklton

Posted By on September 30, 2021

ShackletonPhotoColorized_m

"Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages. Bitter cold. Long months of complete darkness. Constant danger. Safe return doubtful. Honour and recognition in case of success."Ernest Shackleton Antartica

Seeing a colorized version of a photo on Twitter the other day from the British National Antarctic Expedition at the turn of the century triggered memories of reading about the ships and men that explored Antarctica. Perhaps it is time to re-read a book a few of the many articles from the day or a couple newer books? Many the movie Shackleton?

My eye doctor appointment has been checked off for the year

Posted By on September 29, 2021

Although my eyes are still a little dilated, I’m glad to have my 2021 vision appointment out of the way. Thankfully my prescription didn’t change, although the presbyopia is definitely not on the improve (suspect everyone will have aging eyes someday)?eyecaregraphic I’ve pondered the entire vision insurance gimmick (my opinion) before going back and forth wondering if we would be better just paying out of pocket for our vision and for that matter our dental care?

In the past, I noticed that I have been able to shop for vision items and arrive at a cheaper overall cost without insurance … that is even before adding up the relatively low monthly cost of group plan vision coverage with an employer. I suspect some vision providers know that they can upcharge for nearly everything plus collect the insurance reimbursement?

My advice after years of irritatingly being overcharged, is to skip the vision insurance … if you have to pay for it, and negotiate the eye exam and bare minimum of service with your local provider. Then use them if they are reasonable but be prepared to go elsewhere if you find out they are gouging on fitting fees, selling glasses, contacts, etc. From my experience, you will nearly always come out ahead shopping around and using your cash. There will always be headaches and “red tape” when in come to getting reimbursement … not to mention the hassles of filling out forms and sending in the receipts when you play the out-of-network game.  Insurance or no-insurance, be sure to work in the manufacturer’s rebates and always pay with an FSA or my preference and HSA account.

Tesla Full Self-Driving Beta with the press of a button

Posted By on September 28, 2021

Look out on the roads … and no I’m not talking about driving dogs. HA!DogsDriving_m_s

FSD Beta is an unfinished version of Tesla’s premium driver-assistance software, FSD, which the company sells in the U.S. for $10,000 upfront, or $199 a month.

Tesla has rolled out a software update for their controversial Full Self-Driving Beta (FSD beta) program which offers the Full Self-Driving mode to testers. There are a few caveats although suspect some drivers will figure out how to still ignore the road … and plenty of non-Tesla driving sharing the road who have safety concerns.

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Electric vehicle maker Tesla rolled out a long-awaited software update Friday night that allows customers to request access to its controversial Full Self-Driving Beta (FSD Beta) software.

The move delighted fans of CEO Elon Musk and Tesla, but it risks drawing the ire of federal vehicle safety authorities who are already investigating the automaker for possible safety defects in its driver-assistance systems.

CNBC link

Dan Carlin’s Hardcore History: Supernova in the East #podcast

Posted By on September 27, 2021

HH-62-cover-ep1-1400px-600x600A couple of weeks ago, Taylor introduced me to a Dan Carlin “Hardcore History” podcasts. He thought I might enjoy them, since both of us particularly appreciate learning more about military history. The series is called “Supernova in the East” detailing the Japanese Empire from pre-World War Japan through WW 2 in six long lectures (6 have been recorded so far) covering the war in the Pacific in much detail. Currently I’m on Carlin’s number 64, or III in the series, and up to the point early in 1942 when General MacArthur is pushed back onto the Bataan Peninsula in the Philippines. It is long winded, but very informative … and complements the Ian W. Toll volumes I’ve read on the subject.

SupernovaInTheEastSeries

DanCarlinPhotoThe segment being discussed is shortly after the Pearl Harbor attack and the United States entering World War 2. It was also a reminder to me that America left our troops, citizens and allies alone to fend for themselves … too reminiscent of how we recently left Afghanistan. The difference is that in 1941 we lost much of our Pacific Fleet and were prioritizing for war in Europe … unlike just leaving folks behind for our selfish political reason. It was irritating in both cases, but at least in 1942 President Roosevelt didn’t really have the capability to do much in the Pacific … something that can’t be said for President Biden in August 2021.

Anyway, if you believe we can/should learn from history, or just appreciated knowing what previous generations did to keep our nation free, you might enjoy listening to Dan Carlin’sSupernova in the East” … that I’m listening to on Apple Podcasts. 

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Högertrafikomläggningen in Sweden

Posted By on September 26, 2021

What does it take for a country to switch from left-hand to right-hand driving?

Sweden did just that in 1967 … with a lot of preparation. It was called Dagen H orHögertrafikomläggningen.”

Our Samsung side-by-side Refrigerator Icemaker has failed

Posted By on September 25, 2021

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I’m going write this Samsung Refrigerator failed icemaker blog post up with the idiom that “they don’t make them like they used to.”

I’m not exactly sure what electrical part has failed, but the electrical circuit or electronic board that controls the thaw/motor swipe to remove the frozen cubes from the small 8-cube ice tray is not working. I spent way too much time diagnosing from the aspect of “resetting” and forced defrost to realize that it is something in the icemaker circuit itself. I manually used a heat gun to see if I could get the motor to turn the fingers (and it sort of does) but sense that the problem is in getting the heat bars to turn on that warms up the tray for a few minutes. I’ve concluded that it should heat the tray just enough so the cubes can be flipped out of the small tray and start the circuit all over again.

SamsungIcemakerRS22HDHPNSR-AA_m

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Tech Friday filler: Mobile Internet traffic worldwide

Posted By on September 24, 2021

Saved an interesting graphic posted on social media this past week. It is interesting to look at and contemplate how we use our smartphones and tablets … it also works as a Tech Friday filler.

MobileInternetTrafficWorldwide2021m

A map of showing the 4037 cities with populations over 100K

Posted By on September 23, 2021

This map was posted on Brilliant Maps back in 2015, but graphically seeing the 4037 cities around the world with over 100,000 people in them was interesting for those of us who enjoy studying maps.

CitiesWithMoreThan100K_2015
LINK to larger black and white and LINK to color overlay map

It may not be the most up-to-date map, but it was impressive enough to visually ponder (Link to the interactive version).

The top 5 countries with the most 100K+ cities are:

  1. India – 328
  2. Brazil – 300
  3. USA – 295
  4. Japan – 263
  5. China – 209

In total these cities house around 2.1 billion people or around 28% of the world’s population.

Desultory - des-uhl-tawr-ee, -tohr-ee

  1. lacking in consistency, constancy, or visible order, disconnected; fitful: desultory conversation.
  2. digressing from or unconnected with the main subject; random: a desultory remark.
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