Senior Citizens are facing disappointment after the 2026 Social Security COLA announcement and Medicare Premium Hikes

Posted By on October 31, 2025

If you’re a senior relying on Social Security to make ends meet, the latest cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) announcement might feel more like a tease than a relief. Last Friday, the Social Security Administration revealed a 2.8% boost for 2026 benefits, adding an average of $56 per month to retirement checks—bringing the typical payout to $2,071. Sounds promising on paper, right? But as Barron‘s personal finance journalist Elizabeth O’Brien points out in her recent analysis, this raise is quickly eroded by rising Medicare Part B premiums, which are deducted directly from most beneficiaries’ checks. And when you zoom out to the last couple of years, the pattern is clear: Medicare costs are climbing faster than Social Security adjustments, leaving many seniors with less real purchasing power than before.

In this post, we’ll break down the numbers behind the 2026 announcement, compare it to recent trends, and explain why this “increase” might leave you feeling shortchanged. We’ll also share practical tips to soften the blow, straight from O’Brien’s insights.

The 2026 COLA Breakdown: A Raise That’s Already Half-Eaten

The 2.8% COLA is a modest uptick from last year’s 2.5% adjustment, but it’s no match for the inflation many seniors have weathered since the post-pandemic spike. For the average retired worker, that translates to about $56 more per month starting in January 2026. However, if you’re enrolled in Medicare Part B (which covers doctor visits and outpatient care), your Social Security check will automatically deduct the premium—projected to jump to $206.50 monthly, up $21.50 from 2025’s $185.

Do the math: Your gross COLA gain of $56 minus the extra $21.50 in premiums leaves a net increase of just $34.50 per month. That’s about the cost of a couple of grocery runs or a utility bill—hardly the buffer needed against rising food, housing, and healthcare costs. And for higher-income seniors, it’s even worse: The income-related monthly adjustment amount (IRMAA) surcharges for Parts B and D will tack on even more, based on your 2024 tax return.

O’Brien nails it: The COLA is meant to preserve purchasing power, but it “invariably falls short.” This isn’t a one-off gripe—it’s a recurring theme that’s frustrated beneficiaries for years.

A Deeper Look: How Medicare Premiums Have Outpaced COLAs in Recent Years

To understand the growing discontent, let’s look back at the last three years. While Social Security COLAs have averaged around 4.8% since 2023 (buoyed by that massive 8.7% in 2023), Medicare Part B premiums have risen by an average of 8.1% annually—often double or triple the COLA rate. The result? Net gains that shrink with each passing year, compounding the squeeze on fixed incomes.

Here’s a quick comparison table based on average retired worker benefits and standard Part B premiums:

Year  

  COLA percent %

Avg Mo
Benefit (After
COLA)

COLA
Increase (Mon)

Part B Premium

Premium
Increase (Monthly)

Net
Monthly Gain/Loss

2023

  8.7%

~$1,905

~$138

$164.90

-$5.20
(from 2022)

+$143.20

2024

  3.2%

~$1,966

~$61

$174.70

+$9.80

+$51.20

2025

  2.5%

~$2,015

~$49

$185.00

+$10.30

+$38.70

2026

  2.8%

=$2,071

=$56

$206.50

+$21.50

+$34.50

Sources: SSA COLA data and CMS premium announcements. Averages approximated from SSA snapshots and back-calculated via COLA percentages.

Notice the trend: That banner 2023 COLA delivered a real windfall (thanks to a rare premium dip), but since then, net gains have halved every year. By 2026, the extra $414 annually from COLA ($56 x 12) is nearly wiped out by $258 in added premiums ($21.50 x 12)—leaving just $156 in your pocket, or about $13 monthly. Over three years, the cumulative premium hikes total $41.60 per month, outstripping COLA gains and effectively eroding about 2% of your benefit’s value.

Seniors aren’t just crunching numbers; they’re feeling it at the doctor’s office, the pharmacy, and the checkout line. With overall inflation cooling to around 2.4% this year, many expected the COLA to at least match it without the Medicare drag—yet here we are, with healthcare costs (a huge chunk of senior spending) rising 5-10% annually.

Why This Matters: The Human Cost of “Falling Short”

O’Brien’s post cuts to the heart of it: This isn’t abstract policy—it’s about dignity in retirement. For the 71 million Americans on Social Security, many of whom live on $20,000-$30,000 annually, every dollar counts. The frustration boils over in online forums and AARP surveys, where seniors lament that COLAs feel like “robbing Peter to pay Paul,” with Medicare acting as the unwitting thief. And it’s not getting better: Projections show Part B premiums could keep climbing as healthcare utilization rises with an aging population.

What Can You Do? Actionable Steps to Reclaim Some Ground

The good news? You don’t have to take this sitting down (though a comfy chair is always nice). O’Brien offers spot-on advice for navigating open enrollment, which runs through December 7:

  • Shop Your Coverage: Review your Medicare Part D (prescription drugs) or Medicare Advantage plan. A better fit could slash costs by hundreds annually. Use Medicare.gov’s plan finder tool to compare options based on your meds and doctors.
  • Check for Extra Help: If your income is low (under ~$23,000 single/$30,000 couple in 2025), apply for the Extra Help program. It can cover most Part D premiums, deductibles, and copays—potentially saving $5,000+ yearly.
  • Appeal IRMAA if Eligible: If your income spiked temporarily (e.g., from a one-time IRA withdrawal), request a reconsideration through SSA to lower surcharges.
  • Budget Smarter: Track expenses with apps like Mint or Goodbudget, and consider low-risk income boosters like senior discounts or part-time gigs that don’t trigger IRMAA.

In the end, while policymakers debate fixes—like decoupling Medicare premiums from COLAs—seniors need solutions now. The 2026 announcement is a reminder: Your retirement security isn’t just about what Washington promises; it’s about what you plan for today.


A couple older blog car photos triggered good memories for #TBT

Posted By on October 30, 2025

Every once in a while, a link pops up in my blog from years ago (20 years in this case) and it amazes me just how fast the years go by (another link)? 

BIODZL in the background

The photos here are back when I was regularly commuting back and forth from Cincinnati to Cuyahoga Falls and to Warren, Ohio. In the early to mid-2000s, the trip was often in one of my favorite small vehicles: a 2003 Volkswagen Jetta TDI. Those were good, but challenging years as my business was changing (perhaps it always was changing)? Anyway one of my cohorts had just purchased a Mini Cooper S and couldn’t wait to show me. It was fun test driving little turbocharged sporty hatch, but personally I still preferred my RocketChipped biodiesel burning Volkswagen TDI (in the background of these photos). Ah … some good memories.

John's Mini Cooper S with temp tags

A busy autumn for our family and leftover automotive items

Posted By on October 29, 2025

Taylor and Megan at Renaissance Festival 251026 Oostras at the Corn Maze

It was a busy autumn weekend for the next generation in our family. Taylor and Megan were taking advantage of the nice fall weather to go to the Renaissance Festival while the Oostras planted tulip bulbs (how fitting) and tackled the huge “Back to the Future” corn maze in NW Ohio. It looks like the girls were super successful in getting their card punched!

Wheeler Corn Maze 1 Wheeler Corn Maze 2

As for me, I posted on my “missing sensor” and “air filter” for the rear brakes and rotor … and oil change on the BMW X5 35d yesterday … but I did tinker bit more with Brenda’s 2019 Tesla Model 3 after the oil change Sunday afternoon.

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Pray for Jamaica tonight as Cat 5 Hurricane Melissa nears

Posted By on October 28, 2025

Hurricane Melissa nears Jamaica

The Jamaican government said it had done all it could to prepare as it warned of devastating damage from the strongest hurricane to hit the island since recordkeeping began 174 years ago.

“There is no infrastructure in the region that can withstand a Category 5,” Prime Minister Andrew Holness said. “The question now is the speed of recovery. That’s the challenge.”

Landslides, fallen trees and numerous power outages were reported as Melissa came ashore near New Hope, with officials cautioning that the cleanup and damage assessment could be slow. The storm is expected to slice diagonally across the island and head toward Cuba, where intermittent rains were falling.

Colin Bogle, a Mercy Corps adviser based near Kingston, said most families are sheltering in place despite the government ordering evacuations in flood-prone communities. He was sheltering with his grandmother in Portmore, where everything went dark earlier in the day after a loud explosion.  —LINK

Quite the World Series Game 3: Dodger over Blue Jays

Posted By on October 28, 2025

Normally I would not post an individual game results in this year’s 2025 World Series, but last night’s game went nearly 6 hours and 40 minutes ending just before 3AM eastern time after 18 innings. It was an incredible pitchers dual that exhausted nearly every relief pitcher each team had. The final straw was a walk off homer by LA’s Freddie Freeman in the bottom of the 18th inning. What a game — my eyes were held open with toothpicks!

End of Game 3 at 3AM Eastern Time

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Toronto Blue Jays 6-5 in an 18-inning marathon at Dodger Stadium, tying the record for the longest World Series game in MLB history and taking a 2-1 lead in the best-of-seven series The game, which lasted six hours and 39 minutes, concluded with a walk-off home run by Freddie Freeman in the bottom of the 18th inning

  • The Dodgers’ Shohei Ohtani delivered a historic performance, recording four extra-base hits (two home runs, two doubles) and reaching base nine times, a new postseason record He was walked four times intentionally and once traditionally, with Toronto manager John Schneider stating they “just kind of take the bat out of his hands” after his dominant night
  • The game saw a record 19 pitchers used, with nine relievers combining for 13 1/3 innings of one-run ball Will Klein earned the win with four scoreless innings, while Clayton Kershaw recorded a crucial out in the 12th inning with the bases loaded
  • The Blue Jays’ George Springer exited the game in the seventh inning with right side discomfort and was sent for an MRI, potentially missing future games
  • Game 4 is scheduled for Tuesday, October 28, 2025, at 8:00 PM ET on FOX, with Ohtani set to start on the mound for the Dodgers against Toronto’s Shane Bieber

Our 2010 BMW X5 35d gets needed rear brakes and rotors

Posted By on October 28, 2025

Last weekend was all about some needed maintenance on my 2010 BMW X5 35d. The ‘nag’ has been on for the last 500 miles or so and Brake pads wornthat the sensor on the rear brakes is making contact with the rotor. This usually means at least the right rear brake pads are worn pretty thin. What didn’t know was that the left rear pad was really worn thin (image right).

So I ordered a Detroit Axle kit on Amazon and started taking things apart on Saturday. What I didn’t know was that the sensor was not included in the kit (should have read closer) and so need to order the sensor separately for hopefully a Monday delivery  – and will take the right rear apart again to wire in the sensor when it arrives.

For now, just knowing the brakes are back and that there are both new pads and rotors on the rear for less than $150 (after necessary sensor arrives) and a little enjoyable work in the garage is a good feeling. Time for an oil and air filter change (and wow, has the cost of 7 quarts of Euro spec oil gone up again)!

Right Rear with new rotor

The financial markets are riding high. Will it last through 2025?

Posted By on October 27, 2025

The stock market in late 2025 presents an interesting picture as we approach the final two months of the year. Based on historical data from 2003–2024, we can assess the probability of significant market corrections Indices 2025 to dateduring November and December.

A severe pullback of 10% or more has been relatively rare, occurring in only 2 of the past 22 years—notably during the 2008 financial crisis and the 2018 fourth-quarter decline. This translates to roughly a 10% historical probability. When accounting for current market volatility of approximately 16% over the typical 40 trading days in this period, probability models suggest a 9–15% chance of such a correction. However, with current valuations at 22x forward earnings, the risk cannot be dismissed entirely. While economic conditions support a positive scenario, factors like persistent inflation or unexpected Federal Reserve policy changes could quickly alter the trajectory.

For a more moderate 5% decline, the probability increases substantially. Historical data shows that 11 of the past 22 years experienced at least a 5% intra-quarter drawdown during Q4, suggesting approximately a 50% probability. Volatility-based models indicate a somewhat lower 28–30% chance of reaching this threshold. Fourth-quarter seasonality plays a significant role, with year-end portfolio rebalancing, tax-loss harvesting, and other factors contributing to increased market fluctuations. Notably, 6 of the last 10 years saw such pullbacks, with most recovering by January.

Given current market conditions at all-time highs, maintaining some cash reserves for potential opportunities may be prudent. The final decision depends on individual risk tolerance and investment objectives.

Music Monday: Redbone and “Come and Get Your Love” (again)

Posted By on October 27, 2025

It was too late to search and realize that I’ve already postedCome and Get Your Love” by Redbone several years ago for Music Monday. Oh well, Let’s do it again with a little “pre-song dance” after hearing it as bumper music on Fox Business. 😉 

This time it is a 1974 Bert Sugarman’s Midnight Special clip on YouTube.

Democrats’ Cruel Calculus: “the few leverage times we have”

Posted By on October 26, 2025

Last week I passed on the request to comment on the “No Kings” protest, as requested by TheHustings editor since we were busy. This week I’m taking the initiative in sending commentary on the ridiculous Federal government shutdown (quote below) after the “leverage” comments from Democratic House Minority Whip Katherine Clark.

It does seem insane to me that there is almost no talk of cutting the size of government or even returning to pre-COVID spending levels … but the Republicans want another CR (Continuing Resolution) with existing deficit level spending and Democrats are refusing to budge unless they get even more spending! We live in a dysfunctional country.
 


Democrats’ Cruel Calculus

In a moment of chilling candor that has since gone viral, House Minority Whip Katherine Clark laid bare the Democratic leadership’s callous strategy amid the ongoing government shutdown. Speaking to Fox News last week, Clark admitted: “Shutdowns are terrible and, of course, there will be, you know, families that are going to suffer. We take that responsibility very seriously. But it is one of the few leverage times we have.” There it is, in her own words: the suffering of federal workers and their families isn’t a tragedy to avert—it’s a bargaining chip to wield.

As the shutdown drags into its 23rd day today, October 23, 2025, the human cost mounts with every passing hour. Hundreds of thousands of federal employees—essential workers like TSA agents, border patrol officers, and national park rangers—are either furloughed or laboring without paychecks. Military families stare down missed mortgage payments, food pantry lines swell, and small businesses near federal sites teeter on the brink of collapse. This isn’t abstract policy wonkery; it’s real pain inflicted on everyday Americans, all because Democrats refuse to budge on a clean continuing resolution that House Republicans passed weeks ago.

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The 2025 MLB World Series begins: Dodgers vs Blue Jays

Posted By on October 25, 2025

World Series 2025 The 2025 World Series is finally underway. Brenda and I have been watching the playoffs all autumn long, but unfortunately have watched each of our early picks (they were hopes really) drop like flies. The Reds, Guardians and Tigers all fell early in the playoffs, but we have settled on rooting for the Toronto Blue Jays this year (and have tired of watching the LA Dodgers, Astros, Red Sox or Yankees). 😉 

So … starting Friday night at 7pm (last night) … the two powerhouse teams that have weathered this year’s playoffs will prepare for a great World Series. Batter up … or perhaps it will be led by pitching this year? 

An “EDIT ADD” below (thank AI): 

The Toronto Blue Jays defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 11-4 in Game 1 of the 2025 World Series, marking their first victory in the Fall Classic since 1993. The game, played at Rogers Centre in Toronto, was defined by a historic nine-run sixth inning, highlighted by Addison Barger’s first-ever pinch-hit grand slam in World Series history.

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Desultory - des-uhl-tawr-ee, -tohr-ee

  1. lacking in consistency, constancy, or visible order, disconnected; fitful: desultory conversation.
  2. digressing from or unconnected with the main subject; random: a desultory remark.
My Desultory Blog