Tech Friday: Driving, tracking, privacy, gasoline/diesel taxes, or a VMT tax to support our roads and bridges infrastructure

Posted By on June 25, 2021

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Currently, we attempt to pay for infrastructure by taxing drivers at the pump when they fill their cars and trucks with gasoline and diesel fuel … but vehicles are becoming more efficient while the cost of infrastructure and maintenance continues to goes up. In other words, there isn’t enough money being collected. The politicians answer in the past has been to tax more, yet it is never a popular solution. It also puts the burden on the owners of older vehicles since they are the least efficient (also a regressive tax) while newer battery-laden electrically charged vehicles skate by without paying road taxes on when their charge. So raising the gas/diesel tax is a short term solution that doesn’t solve the problem, Odometer_Flickrespecially as we transition to EVs.

For a little more thought on this subject,  Eric Cunningham’s article from Ordinary Times was helpful. He broaches the subject and addresses the Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) tax being bantered about and the many challenges … from the costly administration problem, to how to track, privacy concerns and the enforcement bureaucracy.

How does a VMT work?

In theory, the VMT would be fairly simple. Advocates are often careful to refer to the VMT as a “fee”, not a tax, but in reality it’s a tax like any other. The miles you drive would be tracked, and you would pay a (somewhat) flat tax per mile depending on the type of vehicle you own; I say “somewhat” flat here there are already plans to implement “congestion charging” fees for the crime of driving at the same time as other people, or of driving somewhere where a lot of people live. How these miles are tracked seems to vary. Some have suggested odometer reporting, although at the state level this would tax people for miles driven in other states, robbing those states of tax revenue. Others have suggested requiring a transponder in your vehicle which will continually track every mile you drive; the latter proposal is where the problems arise. Washington state has also experimented with pre-paying for the expected number of miles driven, which seems to be an even less ideal solution. In return for this new tax, a total repeal of the gas tax is often — but not always — suggested. However, the government’s history on actually replacing taxes rather than adding them tends to be fairly poor.

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Admiring an artist’s self-portrait and a #TBT EV test drive

Posted By on June 24, 2021

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Brenda and I have always admired art and after 39 years of marriage have collected quite a bit of it. From antiques, carvings and sculptures to paintings that likely have only meaning to us. When I saw the self-portrait above, I was immediately drawn to it. Hm, an artist painting himself, painting himself? I like it.

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Also, this being a Throwback Thursday #TBT (yes, that trend is showing it blogging age) … I stumbled on a couple photos of the Myers Motors EV that I test drove back in 2006. We’ve come a long way with battery technology and electric cars in 15 years … but at the same time, some entrepreneurs seem to be still are taking reservations and saying “next year” we should be in production. MyersEV.com – Reserve your Point5 or Duo

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The mixed messages on inflation and what does it mean?

Posted By on June 23, 2021

Although I’m likely tainted in having lived through a period where inflation was real and uncontrolled, I do worry that people living today eitherCoins ignore or downplay the negative impact inflation, stagflation or worse … hyperinflation can make on our country.

For those who know me, I’ve likely been theboy who calls wolf at every sign of excessive money printing, bailouts, giveaways and unfunded government program. I’ve worried about debts and deficits … and feared that every time a hot trend triggered the FOMO buying and owning (housing, dotcom stocks, no-money down borrowing, health care costs, education costs, IPOs, NFTs, SPACs and cryptocurrencies of every flavor). BoyWhoCalledWolfThankfully so far, we have survived each boom and bust cycle … and I’ve participated but remained responsibly balanced through many of them.

Now, for the first time in long time, investors, the market and even financial experts have developed an inflation fixation. Stocks have risen from their pandemic lows and have quickly reached valuations that has started the worrying process again. Each expert or business analyst will talk about inflation and any news that suggests prices are rising too fast even has the subject come up at the kitchen table.

This time I do think the immediate surge is “transitory” as the Federal Reserve chairman mentioned due to the slumped economy reopening, but I do tend to look at a few factors which pose problems down the road … and again, it looks concerning again.

  1. The easy-money Fed policies and government stimulus dollars may be continuing too long
  2. Sending unemployment to people to stay home when there are jobs to fill is  forcing employers to pay workers more, their costs to go up and prices rise
  3. The Biden administration is heavy handed which regulations and taxes
  4. Shortages and importing issues force prices higher
  5. Commodity costs are up … whether it is lumber for homes or energy
  6. Speaking of energy, no pipelines, no new oil exploration and punitive government policies against fossil fuel causes energy prices to rise

At this point I’m back to my normal cautious … but also am not fully in panic mode after last week’s selloff and think Phil Flynn and Jonathan Hoenig had it right on Fox Business this week: “The inflation risk is not why the stock market reacted, it was the fact the Federal Reserve seemed so surprised.”  (paraphrased).

Here’s what Clough Capital Partners posted on their blog. It seems to the consensus if there is one.

Our base case is that inflation is still tame

Today the consensus anticipates an economic boom with the return of inflation being the possibly inevitable consequence. We have no doubt the employment recovery will be fast and with the checks from the second federal stimulus program in the bank and a new $2.3 trillion infrastructure investment program on the shelf, the economic boom scenario only looks more likely.

The base effect caused by falling prices during the pandemic will make year-to-year inflation numbers this spring look like we are going back to the 1970s. But we believe that is likely to evaporate in the second half of the year.

Commodity prices have indeed risen in recent months, but these prices rise because a demand surge happens before supplies can be brought on. Shortages of industrial and agricultural commodities are widespread today but eventually supply and logistical bottlenecks will be resolved and price pressures relieved.

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A leftover weekend photo and video turned animated gif

Posted By on June 22, 2021

Spent a lot more time this past weekend picking up branches, pumping out the pool and even set up a pump in the backyard to prevent flooding the pool. Thankfully no tornadoes on the ground, but the lightning, wind and rain was wild. Below is a video snippet … turned animated gif out the back window on Friday night.

On Sunday, the day was a bit more relaxing as Taylor came over to wish me a Happy Father’s Day. We enjoyed ribs with angel food cake, strawberries and whipped creme (our mutual favorite). The conversation turned to movies, investing and a cryptocurrency discussion, as well as FOMO. He has a couple roller coaster-riding friends “investing/gambling” in their favorite crypto coin. I gave my “normal” dad lecture regarding investing vs gambling … and even thought to myself, “the lecture is getting old Rich, just keep your mouth shut and let people call putting money these different crypto upstart digital assets and NFTs what they want.” 

Another Music Monday TV theme song from an in-my-opinion effective Applebee’s commercial with “Cheers” intro

Posted By on June 21, 2021

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Birdhouses and raccoons and a great Drew and Katelyn photo

Posted By on June 20, 2021

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Received nice photo from Katelyn and Drew last week and since I included one of Taylor and Megan last week, this is one that needed to be archived on my OostraBluebirdHouse210612blog. Most most personal photos nowadays are of our granddaughters as Brenda and I have long ago moved past the stage of photos our ourselves … and even our kids? By the way Drew … Happy Father’s Day and thanks for the photos.

To add a little humor to the week, Drew also updated us on the bluebird house that Annalyn and I made last year. As I mentioned to him, the bird that moved in obviously takes after the birdhouse builder when it comes to collecting and keeping stuff. I’m not sure there is even room for a bird in this house?

The raccoon trapping and relocating continues (mp4 video below break) in an attempt to keep them off our roof. Hopefully the raccoons that are left will take the hint that they are not wanted. With all the rabbits and critters, its no wonder we have such a healthy coyote population!

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Tool tip: The Alligator Forceps purchase pays off immediately!

Posted By on June 19, 2021

AlligatorForcepsTube210614Having just posted on the tool tip from Adam Savage yesterday, the Alligator Forceps paid immediate dividends. It was the exact tool I needed to replace the degraded gasoline tubing of my aging TroyBilt 4-cycle string trimmer.

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For context, photo from 2007 below …

Tech Friday: Security and less than consistent VPN connections

Posted By on June 18, 2021

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Generally, I don’t use a VPN connection at home, but since I’ve been having slow connections on my laptop and iPad with VPN connections (both TunnelBear and ProtonVPN), thought I was test at home. ProtonVPN has been working pretty well and doesn’t restrict as much as the “warm and fuzzy” Tunnel Bear, but I’ve not opted for the purchased service connected to my Protonmail encrypted email account. I’m convinced that I would pull the trigger and pay IF I were convince I could get consistent VPN speeds. The ping is always lousy, but speeds fluctuate between can’t connect to pretty good.

Small item Alligator Forceps tool tip thanks to Adam Savage

Posted By on June 17, 2021

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After repairing our iRobot pool sweeper last week and figuring out how to hold a “behind the riveted new screen tiny nut in place (after I dropped it!) … I happened to see Adam Savage’s model building recommended tool (mention him an his testedcom before) and “just had to have it.” In the photos above, it is the new one on the right … but thankfully I had a medical forceps in my tool box that worked (photo on left) … in a “pinch.” (ugh, DDJ)

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Of course it would have come in handy to have had the Alligator Forceps before I needed them … but I ordered and hung them on my workbench wall for the next time (might be great for sewing too?). BTW …  (more…)

The odds are at least 50-50 … right? #learning #statistics

Posted By on June 16, 2021

So why do I always end up trying to open the wrong end of a trash bag?

TrashAndRecycleBagsKitchenWith human intelligence and adaptive learning being what it is, one would think knowing which end of the trash bag to open when pulling one out of the box or roll would favor me getting it correct? I’m here to tell you that this is not the case … even after a lifetime of doing it.

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I haven’t scientifically tested this, so it is not possible to state it as a fact, but I’m convinced that statistically, I’m wrong more than I’m right.

Am I an outlier or is this “wrong end of the trash bag thing,” or is this one of those universal truths?

Desultory - des-uhl-tawr-ee, -tohr-ee

  1. lacking in consistency, constancy, or visible order, disconnected; fitful: desultory conversation.
  2. digressing from or unconnected with the main subject; random: a desultory remark.
My Desultory Blog